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Cracker Squire

THE MUSINGS OF A TRADITIONAL SOUTHERN DEMOCRAT

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Location: Douglas, Coffee Co., The Other Georgia, United States

Sid in his law office where he sits when meeting with clients. Observant eyes will notice the statuette of one of Sid's favorite Democrats.

Thursday, September 09, 2004

Gold Dome Contests -- Update from the pro's

This week Bill Shipp reports:

W. is not likely to have political coattails in the election . . . . A post-convention analysis of the legislative races suggests the GOP may net at least three new seats in the Senate and continue its majority control. The House is a different story. Of 18 contested House seats, Republicans may gain four or five. That leaves Democrats with a comfortable majority of 99 or 98 seats and Speaker Terry Coleman firmly in control. So the power scheme in Georgia will remain virtually the same, regardless of what happens in Washington.
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And the 9-10-04 PI provides us with this timely update:

Coleman's future could be determined by how well Gwinnett (and north DeKalb) take to Democrats

The fulcrum of political power in Georgia has been relocated to the suburbs of Atlanta -- specifically, to six state House districts in north DeKalb County and southwest Gwinnett County.

Speaker Terry Coleman says he's becoming more and more confident that Democrats will be able to maintain control of the House -- and keep Coleman in power -- come November.

The key will be how well Democrats fare in suburban districts that are losing their Republican sheen. The largest contiguous bloc consists of Districts 80 (open seat), 81 (Republican incumbent Jill Chambers) and 82 (open seat) in DeKalb and Districts 96 (Democratic incumbent Pedro Martin of Duluth), 99 (Democratic incumbent Hugh Floyd of Norcross) and 100 (open seat) in Gwinnett.

"These are the six seats that represent the new Democratic party," state Rep. Mary Margaret Oliver (D-Atlanta) said.

All six districts either lean slightly Democratic or are split with Republicans. All incumbents, whether Democrat or Republican, are first-termers.

Democrats will focus their attention there, and they expect Republicans to do the same.

State Rep. Curt Thompson of Norcross has acted as Coleman's strategist in the defensive game. Thompson said, "If we win these six seats," Thompson said, "we definitely have a majority and definitely have a majority beyond what party-switchers might produce on Nov. 3."

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