More on the 4th District race
The polling numbers are beginning to become overwhelming, and early voting, contrary to some rumors, appears to be in Johnson’s favor.
According to Matt Towery on his August 4, 2006 Webcast on InsiderAdvantage Georgia, the overnight polling numbers are in, and Rep. McKinney faces almost certain defeat. According to these polling numbers, African-Americans who were trending in her direction are now trending back, and the African-American vote is now virtually split between the two candidates.
From an article by Dick Pettys in InsiderAdvantage Georgia:
The expectation among many is that [the contest between McKinney and Johnson] will bring an uncharacteristically high number of voters back to the polls in the 4th District, both from those determined to vote McKinney out of office and from those supporters she is able to rally to her defense.
In DeKalb County, which accounted for nearly 90 percent of the vote in the 4th District three weeks ago, advance voting for the runoff this week was up by 14 percent in the first three days compared to the first three days of the advance voting period for the primary.
Georgia does not require voters to register as Democrats or Republicans, so voters are free to vote in the primary of their choice. But they are not free to skip around. If they voted in one party’s primary, they can’t vote in the other party’s runoff. Those who didn’t vote in either party’s primary can choose either party’s runoff.
If Republicans and independents are part of the surge, as many expect, those voters will come from the ranks of those who for one reason or another chose to sit the primary out. They likely will have one thing on their mind – dumping McKinney . . . .
One [person involved in a runoff campaign] said he believes the Republican crossover will be less than McKinney and some analysts anticipate, pointing out that the biggest Republican precincts in northern DeKalb County – the ones believed to have contributed to McKinney’s loss of the seat in 2002 – are no longer in the district.