Ties With Egypt Army Constrain Washington - "We need them for the Suez Canal, we need them for the peace treaty with Israel, we need them for the overflights, and we need them for the continued fight against violent extremists who are as much of a threat to Egypt’s transition to democracy as they are to American interests.”
From The New York Times:
Most nations, including many close allies of the United States, require up to a week’s notice before American warplanes are allowed to cross their territory. Not Egypt, which offers near-automatic approval for military overflights, to resupply the war effort in Afghanistan or to carry out counterterrorism operations in the Middle East, Southwest Asia or the Horn of Africa.
Most nations, including many close allies of the United States, require up to a week’s notice before American warplanes are allowed to cross their territory. Not Egypt, which offers near-automatic approval for military overflights, to resupply the war effort in Afghanistan or to carry out counterterrorism operations in the Middle East, Southwest Asia or the Horn of Africa.
Losing that route could significantly increase flight
times to the region.
American warships are also allowed to cut to the front
of the line through the Suez Canal in times of crisis, even when oil tankers are
stacked up like cars on an interstate highway at rush hour. Without Egypt’s
cooperation, military missions could take days longer.
Those are some of the largely invisible ways the
Egyptian military has assisted the United States as it pursues its national
security interests across the region — and why the generals now in charge in
Cairo are not without their own leverage in dealing with Washington in the
aftermath of President
Obama’s condemnation Thursday of the military’s
bloody crackdown on supporters of the former president, Mohamed Morsi.
In his first overtly punitive step, Mr.
Obama canceled the Bright Star military exercise, the largest and most
visible sign of cooperation between the armed forces of the two nations. But
given the growing violence in Egypt, it might have been impossible to guarantee
the safety of the thousands of American troops scheduled to deploy for the war
game, and the decision to call it off might have been the wise move regardless
of the politics.
For the Pentagon, which had earlier delayed the
delivery of four F-16 fighter jets to the Egyptian Air Force, other steps might
be more difficult.
“We need them for the Suez Canal, we need them for the
peace treaty with Israel, we need them for the overflights, and we need them for
the continued fight against violent extremists who are as much of a threat to
Egypt’s transition to democracy as they are to American interests,” said Gen.
James N. Mattis, who retired this year as head of the military’s Central
Command.
While a cozy relationship with the Egyptian military
might be preferable for American interests to a radicalized, hostile government
in Cairo, there is also a threshold of violence — still unknown — that, if
passed, would make it impossible for the Defense Department to continue its
dealings there.
As Egyptian generals familiar with the American
military are no doubt aware, there have been instances when the United States
restricted or even severed military-to-military relations with a useful ally,
for periods both long and short, because of authoritarian practices, human
rights violations or security policies at odds with those of the United States.
Among the examples are Indonesia, Pakistan and the Philippines.
In the meantime, Obama administration officials are
taking a hard look at possible incentives and punishments that might compel the
generals in Cairo to end the crackdown and open a dialogue on transition to
democratic governance.
“The violence is intolerable, but clearly they feel
the nation of Egypt is facing a sovereign, existential crisis,” said one Obama
administration official. “So while the violence is intolerable, we may be able
to eventually accept these decisions if the violence ends, and quickly.”
The risk is that the United States may be left
standing by as its allies in the Egyptian military lose control of the crisis.
For decades the Egyptians have helped the American
military in ways that are largely unknown to the American public, said Robert
Springborg, a professor at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey,
Calif., and an expert on the Egyptian military. Mr. Springborg noted that in the
run-up to the invasion of Iraq in 2003 — after the Turkish Parliament refused to
allow the American military to use Turkish territory for crossing into Iraq from
the north — Egypt gave the Pentagon immediate access for two aircraft battle
groups and accompanying aircraft through the Suez Canal and across its
territory.
Given the number of countries in the region that do
not allow American military overflights, especially for combat missions, Egypt’s
location makes it a vital, and relatively direct, access route to an unstable
crescent of strategic importance.
Egypt’s role in the Camp David agreements has also
been of critical value for America’s closest ally in the region, Israel. In the
four decades before Camp David, Israel and Egypt fought several major wars; in
the nearly four decades since, none. Even in the current crisis, the military
communications systems established by Camp David to link Israel and Egypt have
helped defuse tensions. When Egypt recently moved additional troops into the
Sinai Peninsula — in violation of the accords — Israel quietly assented, knowing
that the extra forces were to secure the border and tamp down rising militant
activities.
The Obama administration has notably avoided
threatening to cut off the $1.3 billion in annual military assistance to Egypt,
recognizing that the money has helped guarantee peace with Israel for the past
35 years. All of the aid for this year already has been authorized, so even an
order to halt the financial assistance would not have an impact until next year.
In the meantime, Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich Persian Gulf nations have
increased their financial support to Egypt, far surpassing the American
contribution.
Beyond delaying shipment of the F-16 warplanes,
officials said, there are few unfulfilled weapons contracts that could be held
up as a punitive measure.
American officials looking at ways to punish the
Egyptian military for the order to clear Muslim Brotherhood protest sites have
looked to the lesson of Pakistan, which came under economic sanctions for its
nuclear program.
Among the actions taken was ending a program of
inviting young Pakistani military officers to attend armed service academic
programs in the United States. One result has been a generation of Pakistani
officers with no affinity for — and, more often, hostility toward — the American
military. A similar result could occur if the next generation of promising
Egyptian officers were not invited to American military schools.
In the end, one powerful incentive for the generals to
quickly end the civil unrest and establish order — and try to make good on
promises to begin a transition to legitimate governance might be economic — to
attract tourism and investment. And also to preserve Egypt’s relationship with
the United States.
“Both sides have a strong interest in preserving it
and will work to that end,” Mr. Springborg said. “The Egyptian military will
take steps to clothe the military’s behind-the-scene rule with suitable civilian
trappings, making it possible for the U.S. and others to deal with it.”
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home