Bill Shipp gives some percentage bets (1) about Atlanta's next mayor & (2) on likelihood of a serious Democratic challenger to Sen. Saxby Chambliss.

Bill Shipp gives his percentage bets on the likelihood that:

• Because of changing demographics, the next mayor of Atlanta will be white (55 percent).

• Congressman Jim Marshall, D-Macon, will not run for the Senate next year (90 percent*). In fact, the candidacy of DeKalb County CEO Vernon "No Chance" Jones will prevent any serious Democratic challenge to incumbent Sen. Saxby Chambliss (85 percent).
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* Some disagree with the Dean on this call primarily because they see Rep. Marshall's seat becoming riskier, not safer, over the next few years. This is because the next census will probably really mess him up, sending him north of Macon, and cutting out the southern portion of the 8th Congressional District. This notwithstanding, I agree with the Dean on this call except that I give the likelihood of Rep. Marshall not challenging Sen. Chambliss 100%.