Can the Republicans Be Saved From Obsolescence?
An interesting article in The New York Times, long but most informative. I scanned it and hope to have time to read it more carefully. Some bits and pieces:
Exhibit A is the performance of the Romney brain trust, which has suffered an unusually vigorous postelection thrashing for badly losing a winnable race. Criticism begins with the candidate — a self-described data-driven chief executive who put his trust in alarmingly off-the-mark internal polls and apparently did not think to ask his subordinates why, for example, they were operating on the assumption that fewer black voters would turn out for Obama than in 2008. Romney’s senior strategist, Stuart Stevens, may well be remembered by historians, as one House Republican senior staff member put it to me, “as the last guy to run a presidential campaign who never tweeted.” (“It was raised many times with him,” a senior Romney official told me, “and he was very categorical about not wanting to and not thinking it was worth it.”)
Exhibit A is the performance of the Romney brain trust, which has suffered an unusually vigorous postelection thrashing for badly losing a winnable race. Criticism begins with the candidate — a self-described data-driven chief executive who put his trust in alarmingly off-the-mark internal polls and apparently did not think to ask his subordinates why, for example, they were operating on the assumption that fewer black voters would turn out for Obama than in 2008. Romney’s senior strategist, Stuart Stevens, may well be remembered by historians, as one House Republican senior staff member put it to me, “as the last guy to run a presidential campaign who never tweeted.” (“It was raised many times with him,” a senior Romney official told me, “and he was very categorical about not wanting to and not thinking it was worth it.”)
But, I asked Plouffe, wasn’t the G.O.P. just one
postmodern presidential candidate — say, a Senator Marco Rubio — away from
getting back into the game?
Pouncing, he replied: “Let me tell you something. The
Hispanic voters in Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico don’t give a damn about Marco
Rubio, the Tea Party Cuban-American from Florida. You know what? We won the
Cuban vote! And it’s because younger Cubans are behaving differently than their
parents. It’s probably my favorite stat of the whole campaign. So this notion
that Marco Rubio is going to heal their problems — it’s not even sophomoric;
it’s juvenile! And by the way: the bigger problem they’ve got with Latinos isn’t
immigration. It’s their economic policies and health care. The group that
supported the president’s health care bill the most? Latinos.”
Plouffe wasn’t referring to competing against Bush’s
oft-described architect, Karl Rove — but rather, against the campaign manager,
Ken Mehlman. “Mehlman got technology and organization and the truth is — I think
it’s completely misunderstood — it was Ken’s campaign,” Plouffe said. He added
that he and Mehlman were friends, and that during the 2012 cycle, Mehlman — who
had been informally advising the Romney campaign — was also “very free with
advice about structure, how they dealt with an incumbent president, how they
dealt with debate prep.” (Similarly, the former Bush senior strategist Matthew
Dowd told me that Axelrod reached out to him for advice and they sat down
together. “Which never happened with me and Romney-world.”)
Mehlman, according to Bush campaign officials,
persuaded Rove to invest heavily in microtargeting (a data-driven means of
identifying and reaching select groups of voters), which helped deliver Ohio and
thus the election. He advocated reaching out to minority voters both as Bush’s
campaign manager and later as chairman of the R.N.C., where he also instructed
his staff to read “Moneyball.” “I was like, ‘What does a baseball book have to
do with politics?’ ” said Michael Turk, who worked for Mehlman at the R.N.C.
“Once I actually took the time to digest it, I realized what he was trying to do
— which was exactly the kind of thing that the Obama team just did:
understanding that not every election is about home runs but instead getting a
whole bunch of singles together that eventually add up to a win.”
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home