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Cracker Squire

THE MUSINGS OF A TRADITIONAL SOUTHERN DEMOCRAT

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Location: Douglas, Coffee Co., The Other Georgia, United States

Sid in his law office where he sits when meeting with clients. Observant eyes will notice the statuette of one of Sid's favorite Democrats.

Friday, October 27, 2006

Only one candidate for governor is polling better than expected

From Creative Loafing:

[Libertarian candidate Garrett Michael Hayes'] own theory for his popularity boost is that, after years of government failures, Libertarian ideas finally are gaining traction. But he also acknowledges the most likely reason: The lack of popularity of Perdue and Taylor. Or, as veteran political analyst Bill Shipp puts it: "A lot of voters are disenchanted with the other two choices."

A recent Zogby poll pegged Hayes at 8.1 percent, and an Insider Advantage found his support at 9 percent. On Oct. 23, Strategic Vision, another Georgia pollster, placed him at 5 percent.

Political strategists are now suggesting that Taylor's only hope is to push Perdue into a runoff, which would reverse the race's momentum and invigorate Taylor's Democratic base.

Shipp figures that's not going to happen, because Hayes' numbers are likely to drop before the Nov. 7 election. For one thing, his policy proposals -- limiting government involvement in education to health and safety, for example -- are way out of the mainstream. For another, "he's not really a charismatic candidate," Shipp says. "And what experience does he have?"
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There is an interesting movement afoot to get folks to vote Libertarian this year for governor. It just might gain traction.

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