Shipp: Democratic strategists facing struggle to stop Ralph Reed. Taylor is asked to switch races from Gov. to Lt. Gov.
Bill Shipp reports that a group of Democrats are pleading with Taylor to seek a third term as lieutenant governor. These folks are determined to stop Ralph Reed before he gains the first rung of power in elective politics.
Shipp notes that a growing perception that Cathy Cox has momentum in the governor's race is not helping Taylor's fund-raising activities. This notwithstanding, Taylor's brain trust thinks Taylor can corner the black vote and some rural whites plus a bloc of disillusioned teachers to win the nomination.
The above does not surprise me. What does surprise me is Shipp's noting that -- at this early time in the process -- Taylor seriously considered switching races. Not to put words into the Dean's mouth, his column notes the following:
"The opportunity to square off against a budding Goliath in a nationally watched state contest might come along only once in a career. Even so, though Taylor seriously has considered the get-Ralph assignment, the betting here is that he will not switch races. Democratic coaches next week and even next year still will be looking for a player big enough to knock down Reed.
"No matter what his critics say, Reed's relationship with Washington lobbyist Abramoff, as it is currently reported, is not enough to deny him an election victory. As the old political saw goes, "You can't beat somebody with nobody."
Shipp notes that a growing perception that Cathy Cox has momentum in the governor's race is not helping Taylor's fund-raising activities. This notwithstanding, Taylor's brain trust thinks Taylor can corner the black vote and some rural whites plus a bloc of disillusioned teachers to win the nomination.
The above does not surprise me. What does surprise me is Shipp's noting that -- at this early time in the process -- Taylor seriously considered switching races. Not to put words into the Dean's mouth, his column notes the following:
"The opportunity to square off against a budding Goliath in a nationally watched state contest might come along only once in a career. Even so, though Taylor seriously has considered the get-Ralph assignment, the betting here is that he will not switch races. Democratic coaches next week and even next year still will be looking for a player big enough to knock down Reed.
"No matter what his critics say, Reed's relationship with Washington lobbyist Abramoff, as it is currently reported, is not enough to deny him an election victory. As the old political saw goes, "You can't beat somebody with nobody."
10 Comments:
Taylor really should bow to reality and do the right thing. It worked for Zell Miller and Roy Barnes, when both picked the right moment to get in. This just isn't his time.
The only reason I could see for Taylor to bow out is if he thought the governor's race was completely unwinnable. Obviously he doesn't (and neither does Cox). Perdue is either beatable or he isn't. I haven't seen any evidence that Taylor wouldn't be able to seal the deal but Cox would other than very specious claims about the power of suburban women rising up to vote for another woman. It's never happened in any other state, what makes people think it will happen in Georgia of all places? Granholm and Gregoire barely won in heavily Democratic states and Kennedy Townsend and O'Brian lost Maryland and Massachusetts.
"...bow to reality"??? What reality. The race is almost a year out. A whole lot of stuff can come up between then and now and you never know what will change. There are tons of example of races where people were down and then came back. Look at the Kahn/Darden Race in 02. Darden was up over 20 points a year out and then lost to Kahn.
I think the fact that Cox obviously has the House Dems in her corner is a great sign for her. It might be countered if Taylor had the Senate in his corner, but it doesn't look like he has that wrapped up at all. I think the Dems that were planning on being solidly in his corner have taken a careful (and appropriately thoughful) step back. Taylor's in trouble and they're hedging their bets. Hopefully they can get the same message through to him--think about other options. We need a strong candidate against Reed...he could be that big guy.
You cannot use the 2002 results to prove anything about Cathy. She ran against a guy who did not run a campaign. He lived with his mother.
Yes, she is ahead in the polls, now. But that can change. And the majority of the House endorsing Cox could be seen a mile away. That is just part of the ages old house/senate rivalry. Mark is behind, but do not count him out.
Oh, and just as easily as Taylor could be that guy, Cox could be that gal who takes out Reed.
Actually, she'll be "that gal" who takes out Perdue. No matter how many anonymous Taylor sycophants blog on with official Taylor campaign talking points, they can't change the fact he's just another good old boy insider rich boy politician who's fallen behind the times.
Here's a better question for all you Taylor apologists - why did he boycott Governor Perdue's prayer service for our soldiers? The mayor was there, Cox was there, Baker was there. Is he so partisan that he couldn't set it aside for one moment and honor the troops?
Number of good old boy insider rich politicians elected Governor in Georgia: Too many to count.
Number of women: 0.
Taylor was at a funeral.
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