In the world of at least one Bobby I know it's 3 strikes and you're out -- Here's to hoping for a double
I made the following comment on my website during the campaign, a slanted and biased source for an opinion, but the gospel truth nonetheless:
I am hopeful that by July 20 certain members of our Party’s leadership -- who long ago conceded the U.S. Senate race in November to the Republicans and decided to emphasize the important task of retaking the state Senate and gaining seats in the state House -- will see the light and recognize that if we elect the right U.S. Senate candidate on July 20, not only will this help our Party attain these important state objectives in November, but also will greatly enhance our Party’s chances of retaking the Governor’s Office in 2006.
An article in the 8-16-04 Macon Telegraph by Andy Peters entitled "Georgia Democrats face steep climb to reclaim Senate majority" is as good of play by play that you are going to get on the state Senate races. The headline sort of tells it all.
For the Democrats to reclaim the majority they lost in 2002, when four Republicans switched parties, they'll have to sweep all nine Senate races that appear to be toss-ups, plus upset three more Republicans where the GOP appears to have an edge, as well as win two more close races where Democrats appear strongest, according to a Telegraph analysis.
University of Georgia political science professor Charles Bullock [says] most likely the Republicans will retain Senate control.
"It's awfully difficult for the Democrats to come up with a winning strategy in the Senate," Bullock said. "If I were a Democratic strategist, I'd concentrate on trying to hold on to the majority in the House."
Democrats hope to see a continuation of the long-standing tendency of rural conservatives who vote Republican in national elections but who cast Democratic ballots in local elections.
In the state Senate, 22 races already have been decided in the primaries. The primaries have given the Republicans a head start, as they already have won 13 seats to the Democrats' nine seats.
That leaves 34 seats to be determined.
In six of those 34 races, a Democrat is the clear favorite, according to the Telegraph analysis. In 14 races, a Republican is the clear favorite.
Five races appear to favor either the Democrat or Republican, but there's enough uncertainty to give the other side at least a glimmer of hope. Three of the races seem to favor the Republican, and two appear to lean Democratic.
Nine races are too close to call.
I am hopeful that by July 20 certain members of our Party’s leadership -- who long ago conceded the U.S. Senate race in November to the Republicans and decided to emphasize the important task of retaking the state Senate and gaining seats in the state House -- will see the light and recognize that if we elect the right U.S. Senate candidate on July 20, not only will this help our Party attain these important state objectives in November, but also will greatly enhance our Party’s chances of retaking the Governor’s Office in 2006.
An article in the 8-16-04 Macon Telegraph by Andy Peters entitled "Georgia Democrats face steep climb to reclaim Senate majority" is as good of play by play that you are going to get on the state Senate races. The headline sort of tells it all.
For the Democrats to reclaim the majority they lost in 2002, when four Republicans switched parties, they'll have to sweep all nine Senate races that appear to be toss-ups, plus upset three more Republicans where the GOP appears to have an edge, as well as win two more close races where Democrats appear strongest, according to a Telegraph analysis.
University of Georgia political science professor Charles Bullock [says] most likely the Republicans will retain Senate control.
"It's awfully difficult for the Democrats to come up with a winning strategy in the Senate," Bullock said. "If I were a Democratic strategist, I'd concentrate on trying to hold on to the majority in the House."
Democrats hope to see a continuation of the long-standing tendency of rural conservatives who vote Republican in national elections but who cast Democratic ballots in local elections.
In the state Senate, 22 races already have been decided in the primaries. The primaries have given the Republicans a head start, as they already have won 13 seats to the Democrats' nine seats.
That leaves 34 seats to be determined.
In six of those 34 races, a Democrat is the clear favorite, according to the Telegraph analysis. In 14 races, a Republican is the clear favorite.
Five races appear to favor either the Democrat or Republican, but there's enough uncertainty to give the other side at least a glimmer of hope. Three of the races seem to favor the Republican, and two appear to lean Democratic.
Nine races are too close to call.
posted by Sid Cottingham | 1:29 PM
2 Comments:
Sid, What do you think of Mark Taylor as a candidate?
The problem with all these surveys, though I happen to believe this one is mostly true, is they take a sample's pulse at one arbitrary moment in time. So the storyline for an entire election season is based on that arbitrary moment in time, then becomes a big dirty snowball that gains mass and momentum, and is impossible to stop.
Steve, the Big Guy has been out gladhanding and fundraising for a long, long time already. I still don't know how much I like his chances, given he barely won the Lt. Gov. seat. It's too early to tell though. What do you guys think of Cathy with a C for Gov?
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